Baccarat Card Counting
If you're interested in how the real mechanics of Baccarat systems work, then you'll want to study how card counting works in this game. Card counting Baccarat is all about finding out when the player bet is worth more than the banker bet so that you know when to switch wagers. Normally the banker bet is the best bet available, but sometimes the deck composition changes enough that the player bet passes it. Baccarat card counting is all about keeping up with the composition of the deck by adding or subtracting to a running count and using it to measure the ratio of different types of cards in the deck.
The Mechanics of Card Counting Baccarat
When there's a new shoe or deck used, you start over with a count of zero. When an ace, two or three is dealt from the deck, you'll add one to that count, which indicates an increased chance of switching to the player bet. Fours are worth double, so you'll add two to the count when these cards are dealt. The cards that decrease the chances of the player bet being better include fives, sevens and eights, and you'll subtract one from the count for all three of them. Along similar lines, you'll want to subtract two when a six is dealt. All other cards nines through kings don't change the count, so they are worth zero.
The True Count
The idea behind this Baccarat card counting system is that you'll be more likely to switch to the player bet as the size of the count increases, and you'll be less likely as the size of the count decreases. While you have a running count with what's described above, you'll actually want to divide that by the number of decks that are left in the shoe to find the true count. If you have a running count of 30 with six decks left, that's a true count of five, which isn't such a big deal. However, a running count of 30 with two decks left is a true count of 15, and that is a big deal.
When the true count is 16 or higher, then you should switch to the player bet. This is the point where the banker bet's value has decreased enough and the player bet's value has increased enough that they switch places as far as the number one and number two bets go.
Practice Makes Perfect
If you want to practice card counting Baccarat, then you can do so sitting somewhere with a single deck of cards. Start off by flipping over one card at a time and trying to add up the count until you get all the way through the deck. Counting the entire deck should leave you with a count of zero, so if it's non-zero, then you know that you made a mistake somewhere.
After practicing this dealing one card at a time, you should practice it with two cards being dealt at a time to simulate what happens in the actual dealing of the Baccarat hands. For good measure, you can increase that to three cards at a time just to really get your counting skills down pat. You have to be extremely accurate to add this skill to your repertoire, and it takes a lot of practice.